Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.075104 0.087171 0.100366 0.115839 0.133461 0.152878 0.175865
2025-01-26 0.060058 0.076836 0.096818 0.122258 0.153664 0.191035 0.238732
2025-02-02 0.049365 0.068814 0.093771 0.127876 0.172962 0.230177 0.307882
2025-02-09 0.038400 0.057959 0.084835 0.123999 0.179047 0.252998 0.359042
2025-02-16 0.031247 0.050687 0.079098 0.122933 0.187959 0.279748 0.417684
2025-02-23 0.025305 0.043925 0.072748 0.119626 0.192677 0.300522 0.469544
2025-03-02 0.020894 0.038641 0.067619 0.117096 0.197735 0.321704 0.523467
2025-03-09 0.018101 0.035471 0.065243 0.118345 0.208431 0.351978 0.593485
2025-03-16 0.015071 0.031294 0.060476 0.114814 0.210681 0.368854 0.643627
2025-03-23 0.013842 0.030213 0.060899 0.120172 0.228258 0.411872 0.739466
2025-03-30 0.012216 0.028051 0.058997 0.121007 0.237873 0.442227 0.816543
2025-04-06 0.010449 0.025267 0.055475 0.118288 0.240631 0.460798 0.874711
2025-04-13 0.009026 0.022993 0.052698 0.116776 0.245711 0.484379 0.944629
2025-04-20 0.008494 0.022626 0.053789 0.123142 0.266575 0.538437 1.073950
2025-04-27 0.007940 0.022107 0.054476 0.128745 0.286496 0.592423 1.207493
2025-05-04 0.006762 0.019823 0.050920 0.124820 0.286652 0.608787 1.271653
2025-05-11 0.005941 0.018277 0.048800 0.123734 0.292517 0.636614 1.359834
2025-05-18 0.005105 0.016512 0.045874 0.120401 0.293137 0.653916 1.428564
2025-05-25 0.004429 0.015044 0.043436 0.117853 0.295131 0.674042 1.504307
2025-06-01 0.004020 0.014266 0.042626 0.119108 0.305770 0.712912 1.621023
2025-06-08 0.003459 0.012895 0.040029 0.115555 0.304871 0.727100 1.687349
2025-06-15 0.003307 0.012796 0.040884 0.120944 0.325682 0.789953 1.861189
2025-06-22 0.003005 0.012132 0.040049 0.121784 0.335545 0.829361 1.987272